Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure

Seigneur, C. ; Lohman, K. ; Pai, P. ; Heim, K. ; Mitchell, D. ; Levin, L.
Springer
Published 1999
ISSN:
1573-2932
Keywords:
exposure assessment ; mercury ; uncertainty analysis
Source:
Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
Topics:
Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
Notes:
Abstract A modeling system has been developed to simulate regional environmental exposure to mercury due to atmospheric deposition of mercury to watersheds. The atmospheric fate and transport of mercury is simulated using a comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian model, the Trace Element Atmospheric Model (TEAM). The aquatic chemistry and bioaccumulation of mercury in fish are simulated using a model of mercury cycling in a lake/watershed system, the Regional Mercury Cycling Model (R-MCM). Fish consumption was derived from a review of available surveys. Previous work focused on an assessment of the environmental and inter-individual variability in key input data (Seigneur et al., 1997a). We address here the uncertainties associated with critical model input variables (e.g., atmospheric deposition velocities, precipitation rate, limnological characteristics). A probabilistic assessment is conducted to propagate the uncertainties in the input data through the modeling system and develop a probability distribution of the human mercury dose that reflects these uncertainties. The standard deviation of the distribution of the calculated human dose is about 50% of the mean value. For the example considered here (i.e., Park Lake in Michigan, U.S.A.), 80% of the uncertainty in the human dose was due to uncertainties in the speciation of mercury air emissions, pH and temperature of the lake, burial velocity of the sediments, and rate of fish consumption.
Type of Medium:
Electronic Resource
URL:
_version_ 1798296690142216193
autor Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
autorsonst Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
book_url http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1005048017031
datenlieferant nat_lic_papers
hauptsatz hsatz_simple
identnr NLM196186226
iqvoc_descriptor_keyword iqvoc_00000708:analysis
iqvoc_descriptor_title iqvoc_00000708:Analysis
issn 1573-2932
journal_name Water, air & soil pollution
materialart 1
notes Abstract A modeling system has been developed to simulate regional environmental exposure to mercury due to atmospheric deposition of mercury to watersheds. The atmospheric fate and transport of mercury is simulated using a comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian model, the Trace Element Atmospheric Model (TEAM). The aquatic chemistry and bioaccumulation of mercury in fish are simulated using a model of mercury cycling in a lake/watershed system, the Regional Mercury Cycling Model (R-MCM). Fish consumption was derived from a review of available surveys. Previous work focused on an assessment of the environmental and inter-individual variability in key input data (Seigneur et al., 1997a). We address here the uncertainties associated with critical model input variables (e.g., atmospheric deposition velocities, precipitation rate, limnological characteristics). A probabilistic assessment is conducted to propagate the uncertainties in the input data through the modeling system and develop a probability distribution of the human mercury dose that reflects these uncertainties. The standard deviation of the distribution of the calculated human dose is about 50% of the mean value. For the example considered here (i.e., Park Lake in Michigan, U.S.A.), 80% of the uncertainty in the human dose was due to uncertainties in the speciation of mercury air emissions, pH and temperature of the lake, burial velocity of the sediments, and rate of fish consumption.
package_name Springer
publikationsjahr_anzeige 1999
publikationsjahr_facette 1999
publikationsjahr_intervall 8004:1995-1999
publikationsjahr_sort 1999
publisher Springer
reference 112 (1999), S. 151-162
schlagwort exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
search_space articles
shingle_author_1 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
shingle_author_2 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
shingle_author_3 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
shingle_author_4 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
shingle_catch_all_1 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
Abstract A modeling system has been developed to simulate regional environmental exposure to mercury due to atmospheric deposition of mercury to watersheds. The atmospheric fate and transport of mercury is simulated using a comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian model, the Trace Element Atmospheric Model (TEAM). The aquatic chemistry and bioaccumulation of mercury in fish are simulated using a model of mercury cycling in a lake/watershed system, the Regional Mercury Cycling Model (R-MCM). Fish consumption was derived from a review of available surveys. Previous work focused on an assessment of the environmental and inter-individual variability in key input data (Seigneur et al., 1997a). We address here the uncertainties associated with critical model input variables (e.g., atmospheric deposition velocities, precipitation rate, limnological characteristics). A probabilistic assessment is conducted to propagate the uncertainties in the input data through the modeling system and develop a probability distribution of the human mercury dose that reflects these uncertainties. The standard deviation of the distribution of the calculated human dose is about 50% of the mean value. For the example considered here (i.e., Park Lake in Michigan, U.S.A.), 80% of the uncertainty in the human dose was due to uncertainties in the speciation of mercury air emissions, pH and temperature of the lake, burial velocity of the sediments, and rate of fish consumption.
1573-2932
15732932
Springer
shingle_catch_all_2 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
Abstract A modeling system has been developed to simulate regional environmental exposure to mercury due to atmospheric deposition of mercury to watersheds. The atmospheric fate and transport of mercury is simulated using a comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian model, the Trace Element Atmospheric Model (TEAM). The aquatic chemistry and bioaccumulation of mercury in fish are simulated using a model of mercury cycling in a lake/watershed system, the Regional Mercury Cycling Model (R-MCM). Fish consumption was derived from a review of available surveys. Previous work focused on an assessment of the environmental and inter-individual variability in key input data (Seigneur et al., 1997a). We address here the uncertainties associated with critical model input variables (e.g., atmospheric deposition velocities, precipitation rate, limnological characteristics). A probabilistic assessment is conducted to propagate the uncertainties in the input data through the modeling system and develop a probability distribution of the human mercury dose that reflects these uncertainties. The standard deviation of the distribution of the calculated human dose is about 50% of the mean value. For the example considered here (i.e., Park Lake in Michigan, U.S.A.), 80% of the uncertainty in the human dose was due to uncertainties in the speciation of mercury air emissions, pH and temperature of the lake, burial velocity of the sediments, and rate of fish consumption.
1573-2932
15732932
Springer
shingle_catch_all_3 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
Abstract A modeling system has been developed to simulate regional environmental exposure to mercury due to atmospheric deposition of mercury to watersheds. The atmospheric fate and transport of mercury is simulated using a comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian model, the Trace Element Atmospheric Model (TEAM). The aquatic chemistry and bioaccumulation of mercury in fish are simulated using a model of mercury cycling in a lake/watershed system, the Regional Mercury Cycling Model (R-MCM). Fish consumption was derived from a review of available surveys. Previous work focused on an assessment of the environmental and inter-individual variability in key input data (Seigneur et al., 1997a). We address here the uncertainties associated with critical model input variables (e.g., atmospheric deposition velocities, precipitation rate, limnological characteristics). A probabilistic assessment is conducted to propagate the uncertainties in the input data through the modeling system and develop a probability distribution of the human mercury dose that reflects these uncertainties. The standard deviation of the distribution of the calculated human dose is about 50% of the mean value. For the example considered here (i.e., Park Lake in Michigan, U.S.A.), 80% of the uncertainty in the human dose was due to uncertainties in the speciation of mercury air emissions, pH and temperature of the lake, burial velocity of the sediments, and rate of fish consumption.
1573-2932
15732932
Springer
shingle_catch_all_4 Seigneur, C.
Lohman, K.
Pai, P.
Heim, K.
Mitchell, D.
Levin, L.
Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
exposure assessment
mercury
uncertainty analysis
Abstract A modeling system has been developed to simulate regional environmental exposure to mercury due to atmospheric deposition of mercury to watersheds. The atmospheric fate and transport of mercury is simulated using a comprehensive three-dimensional Eulerian model, the Trace Element Atmospheric Model (TEAM). The aquatic chemistry and bioaccumulation of mercury in fish are simulated using a model of mercury cycling in a lake/watershed system, the Regional Mercury Cycling Model (R-MCM). Fish consumption was derived from a review of available surveys. Previous work focused on an assessment of the environmental and inter-individual variability in key input data (Seigneur et al., 1997a). We address here the uncertainties associated with critical model input variables (e.g., atmospheric deposition velocities, precipitation rate, limnological characteristics). A probabilistic assessment is conducted to propagate the uncertainties in the input data through the modeling system and develop a probability distribution of the human mercury dose that reflects these uncertainties. The standard deviation of the distribution of the calculated human dose is about 50% of the mean value. For the example considered here (i.e., Park Lake in Michigan, U.S.A.), 80% of the uncertainty in the human dose was due to uncertainties in the speciation of mercury air emissions, pH and temperature of the lake, burial velocity of the sediments, and rate of fish consumption.
1573-2932
15732932
Springer
shingle_title_1 Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
shingle_title_2 Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
shingle_title_3 Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
shingle_title_4 Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
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timestamp 2024-05-06T09:56:06.088Z
titel Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
titel_suche Uncertainty Analysis of Regional Mercury Exposure
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